Conference Week 30: If only every league were like the Conference

It's been a while since I managed to get the Conference stats together so apologies to those of you waiting for that.

The Conference has now, more-or-less, reached week 30, although the games in hand do mean that some of the stats need to be taken with a little more awareness of the differences in number of games played. So I've had to stretch the tables to include the per game rates for shots and shots on target - those might be better for making comparisons rather than the absolute totals.

But, it really does seem to be fitting quite nicely into the better teams at generating shots succeeding, and the worse teams, not. It is essential to remember that the difference in games played has a big say here, but just looking at the data indicates the league coming together fairly nicely.

Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Barnet	30	19	5	6	65	30	35	62
2	Bristol Rvs	30	15	11	4	40	24	16	56
3	Macclesfield	29	14	9	6	38	27	11	51
4	Grimsby	28	13	8	7	44	25	19	47
5	Forest Green	29	12	11	6	45	34	11	47
6	Kidderminster	29	13	7	9	41	34	7	46
7	Woking	29	12	8	9	46	34	12	44
8	Eastleigh	27	12	8	7	49	39	10	44
9	Halifax	27	12	6	9	40	30	10	42
10	Torquay	30	11	9	10	48	40	8	42
11	Lincoln	27	12	6	9	49	43	6	42
12	Gateshead	26	10	10	6	43	37	6	40
13	Dover Athletic	28	11	7	10	43	38	5	40
14	Braintree Town	29	12	3	14	35	33	2	39
15	Altrincham	30	11	6	13	37	48	-11	39
16	Wrexham	26	10	7	9	31	30	1	37
17	Chester	29	11	3	15	37	52	-15	36
18	Aldershot	29	9	6	14	31	38	-7	33
19	Welling United	30	8	9	13	33	44	-11	33
20	Southport	26	8	6	12	28	40	-12	30
21	Alfreton Town	28	7	3	18	28	56	-28	24
22	Dartford	28	5	8	15	27	46	-19	23
23	Nuneaton Town	30	6	5	19	26	57	-31	23
24	Telford United	28	4	7	17	37	62	-25	19

It's noticeable that Barnet are (at least until now) far and away the best team in the division, something reflected in their lofty position.
And it is encouraging to see the next two best teams (in terms of producing shots on target at least) in the playoffs too.
Forest Green have also managed to sneak in to the playoff berths thanks to an above average PDO and despite having worse (although still creditable) stats than a couple of other teams.
Macclesfield however are the only team really well out of position. They are in the playoffs purely on PDO. Going on this data it would seem rather a long shot that they maintain their promotion push throughout the second half of the campaign and I would expect them to fall back into midtable pretty quickly.

And it's also reassuring to see the five worst teams in the division occupying the five bottom spots in the league. Nuneaton have been horribly burned by PDO, but even so they are still a well below average team according to the data here. It could be an almighty scrap to avoid relegation between those five.

Position	Team	Played	Shots for per game	Shots vs per game	Shots for total	Shots against total	Corsi/TSR	Shots on target for per game	Shots on target vs per game	shots on target for total	shots on target against total	Shots on target share	Shooting % For	Save %	PDO
18	Aldershot	29	8.45	8.9	245	258	0.487	3.66	3.90	106	113	0.484	29.24	66.39	95.62
21	Alfreton Town	28	7.18	12.32	201	345	0.368	2.89	5.25	81	147	0.355	34.56	61.9	96.46
15	Altrincham	30	10.97	10.93	329	328	0.501	4.20	4.23	126	127	0.498	29.35	62.19	91.55
1	Barnet	30	11.77	8.13	353	244	0.591	5.33	3.03	160	91	0.638	40.61	67.02	107.63
14	Braintree Town	29	9.31	8.79	270	255	0.514	3.28	3.10	95	90	0.514	36.84	63.32	100.15
2	Bristol Rvs	30	10.87	8.83	326	265	0.552	4.50	3.03	135	91	0.598	29.62	73.62	103.24
17	Chester	29	10.34	10.69	300	310	0.492	4.10	4.66	119	135	0.468	31.1	61.48	92.59
22	Dartford	28	7.18	10.93	201	306	0.396	3.43	4.86	96	136	0.414	28.12	66.18	94.3
13	Dover Athletic	28	10.14	8.79	284	246	0.536	3.82	3.68	107	103	0.509	40.19	63.12	103.32
8	Eastleigh	27	8.63	8.33	233	225	0.509	3.85	3.59	104	97	0.518	47.11	59.78	106.88
5	Forest Green	29	9.79	9.38	284	272	0.511	4.41	3.62	128	105	0.549	35.17	67.62	102.79
12	Gateshead	26	10.15	8.54	264	222	0.543	3.92	3.58	102	93	0.523	42.17	60.22	102.39
4	Grimsby	28	12.61	8.86	353	248	0.587	5.71	3.71	160	104	0.606	27.49	75.97	103.46
9	Halifax	27	10.81	7.67	292	207	0.585	4.22	3.26	114	88	0.564	35.1	65.92	101.03
6	Kidderminster	29	11.17	8.9	324	258	0.557	4.66	3.72	135	108	0.555	30.37	68.53	98.9
11	Lincoln	27	9.81	11.11	265	300	0.469	4.22	4.67	114	126	0.475	43	65.87	108.87
3	Macclesfield	29	7.9	9.69	229	281	0.449	3.38	3.72	98	108	0.476	38.76	75	113.76
23	Nuneaton Town	30	7.57	11.53	227	346	0.396	2.97	4.57	89	137	0.394	29.2	58.39	87.59
20	Southport	26	8.85	10.85	230	282	0.449	3.35	5.08	87	132	0.397	32.17	69.71	101.88
24	Telford United	28	8.68	11.39	243	319	0.432	3.36	5.36	94	150	0.385	39.36	58.65	98.01
10	Torquay	30	11.77	10.4	353	312	0.531	4.40	3.93	132	118	0.528	36.36	66.1	102.46
19	Welling United	30	7.9	9.7	237	291	0.449	3.37	4.00	101	120	0.457	32.67	63.34	96.01
7	Woking	29	10.9	8.31	316	241	0.567	4.76	3.55	138	103	0.573	33.32	66.99	100.31
16	Wrexham	26	9.15	9.08	238	236	0.502	3.65	3.62	95	94	0.502	32.64	68.1	100.74

Finally, I've also put the comparative graphs of points vs shot share, shots on target share, and PDO at the bottom.
While some of these correlations are particularly strong, it is important to remember here that these totals are from the unequal number of games that have been played - and with some teams three or four games behind (10% of the fixtures so far) that is a quite substantial spread.